0: Preface
1: Formulating the Mess
2: Ends Planning
3: Means Planning
4: Resource Planning
5: Design of Implementation
6: Design of Controls
7: Epilog
8: Appendix
9: Fundamentals
10: Loose Sections
11: Todo List
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3. The Process ​

If we have established that our biological imperative is to deliberately shape our own evolution, the immediate question becomes: How do we actually go about it?

We are faced with a fundamental problem of method: What process can we use to consistently navigate an environment defined by continuous, complex turbulence?

To answer this, we must first look at our options.

Exploring Our Options ​

When attempting to navigate systemic change, we typically default to a handful of established strategic pathways:

  1. Strategic Forecasting: Trying to predict the future based on past data, and plotting a sequential path forward. (But as we've established, the environment is fundamentally unpredictable).
  2. The Three Horizons Approach: Managing innovation across three time frames (core business, emerging opportunities, and disruptive futures). While useful for corporate product pipelines, it lacks the cybernetic rigor to transform human society at scale.
  3. Agile Optimization: Moving fast and incrementally optimizing the existing system. (This merely improves the efficiency of a system that may already be fundamentally broken).
  4. Idealized Design: Choosing to ignore the constraints of the present by designing the ultimate system you would build right now if the current one vanished yesterday, and then interactively planning backward.

To choose the right option, we must define our desired outcome.

Defining the Outcome ​

Our outcome is not to build a slightly better version of the status quo. Our outcome is to cultivate an entirely new socio-economic system built specifically for continuous evolution and variety amplification. We need a framework that treats systemic friction not as a defect, but as the raw fuel needed to power our evolution.

Because this is our target outcome, the choice becomes obvious. We must use an active exercise in Idealized Design and Interactive Planning, directly leveraging the pioneering systems thinking methodologies of Russell Ackoff.

The Structure of the Book ​

Bumponomics is not simply a theoretical economic model; it is an active exercise in Ackoff's Interactive Planning. To effectively communicate this, the physical structure of this book has been explicitly organized to mirror his six phases:

  1. Formulating the Mess: Defining the systemic traps, megatrends, and the underlying physics of our current baseline anomalies.
  2. Ends Planning: Establishing the Idealized Design. Rather than planning forward from a problem, cybernetics demands we design our target reality first.
  3. Means Planning: Calculating the exact strategic levers required to bridge the gap between the baseline Mess and our Idealized Design.
  4. Resource Planning: Mapping the human agency and cultivating the organizational structures needed to fuel the engine.
  5. Design of Implementation: Operationalizing the philosophy into a tangible, functioning ecosystem.
  6. Design of Controls: Abandoning standard financial transaction metrics (like GDP) to measure progress through pure evolutionary constraints.

You may not have noticed it, but the sequence of questions we just asked—defining the problem, analyzing our transformation options, and selecting the one that achieves our target outcome—is the exact cognitive loop we will use to navigate the rest of this book.

Let's turn the key.

This work is licensed under a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 International License.